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Housing Starts Still Near 200,000 Mark in July

OTTAWA, Ontario, August 9, 2002 — The seasonally adjusted annual rate1 of housing starts in Canada slipped 0.2% in July to 200,300 units from a revised2 200,800 units in June, according to Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC).

Urban multiple starts rose 4.6% to an annual rate of 77,300 units from 73,900, while urban singles declined 4.6% to an annual rate of 97,800 units from 102,500 in June. Rural starts in July were estimated at an annual rate of 25,200 units. Rural starts in June were revised downward to an annual rate of 24,400 units, from a preliminary 25,900 units.

"The difficulties in the stock market are helping the housing market," said Michel Laurence, Chief Economist at CMHC's Market Analysis Centre. "Money has flowed out of stocks and into bonds, thus lowering interest and mortgage rates, and helping sustain housing demand."

Actual urban housing starts for January to July this year are 27.1% higher than for the same period last year (100,148 units compared with 78,811 units). The single-detached market increased 35.8% while multiples increased 16.6%.

1 All starts figures in this release, other than actual starts, are seasonally adjusted annual rates (SAAR) that are monthly figures adjusted to remove normal seasonal variation and multiplied by 12 to reflect annual levels.
2 Figures for the most recent month are preliminary and subject to revisions due to corrections or updates from quarterly enumeration or sampling results.

Special note:
Prior to July 2002, the CMHC Starts and Completions Survey consisted of a monthly enumeration of new housing activity in urban centres with a population of 10,000 persons and over. As of July 2002, the survey will be conducted monthly in urban centres with a population of 50,000 persons and over and quarterly in urban centres with a population of 10,000 to 49,999 persons. Statistical models will be used to estimate provincial and national housing starts in urban centres with a population of 10,000 persons and over, on a monthly basis.

The methodology is unchanged for estimating housing starts in rural areas (areas other than urban centres with a population of 10,000 persons and over). In these areas, a sample survey is used on a quarterly basis. As was the case in the past, statistical models continue to be used to estimate national housing starts in all areas on a monthly basis.

Information on this release:

Michel Laurence
CMHC
(613) 748-2737
mlaurenc@cmhc-schl.gc.ca

For regional starts information contact:

Atlantic provinces:

Ralph Freeze
CMHC
(902) 426-8964
rfreeze@cmhc-schl.gc.ca

Quebec:

Kevin Hughes
CMHC
(514) 283-4488
khughes@cmhc-schl.gc.ca

Ontario:

Alex Medow
CMHC
(416) 218-3344
amedow@cmhc-schl.gc.ca

Prairie provinces:

Richard Corriveau
CMHC
(403) 515-3005
rcorrive@cmhc-schl.gc.ca

British Columbia:

Cameron Muir
CMHC
(604) 737-4144
cmuir@cmhc-schl.gc.ca


Housing Starts, Actual and SAAR*

  June 2002
Final
July 2002
Preliminary
  Actual SAAR Actual SAAR
Canada, all areas 20,331 200,800 18,973 200,300
Canada, rural areas 2,695 24,400 2,685 25,200
Canada, urban centres** 17,636 176,400 16,288 175,100
Canada, singles, urban centres 10,997 102,500 9,685 97,800
Canada, multiples, urban centres 6,639 73,900 6,603 77,300
 
Atlantic region, urban centres 1,075 8,300 917 6,700
Quebec, urban centers 3,443 32,100 2,796 34,400
Ontario, urban centers 7,171 76,900 7,992 86,900
Prairie region, urban centres 3,788 37,600 2,668 27,400
British Columbia, urban centres 2,159 21,500 1,915 19,700

Source: CMHC
* Seasonally adjusted annual rates
** Urban centres with a population of 10,000 persons and over.
Detailed data available upon request.


Canadian Housing Starts July 2002

News source: Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC)

 

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